The European Green Deal aims to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, requiring the transportation industry to improve emission efficiency as it accounts for 20% of global CO2 emissions. This study uses an agent-based simulation to analyze the sustainability impacts of shared autonomous shuttles. We forecast travel demands for 2050 and simulate regulatory interventions in the form of replacing private cars with a fleet of shared autonomous shuttles in specific areas. We derive driving-related emissions, energy consumption, and non-driving-related emissions to calculate life-cycle emissions. We observe reduced life-cycle emissions from 0.4% to 9.6% and reduced energy consumption from 1.5% to 12.2%.

翻译：《欧洲绿色协议》旨在2050年实现气候中和，这要求交通运输行业提高排放效率，因其占全球二氧化碳排放量的20%。本研究采用基于智能体的模拟方法，分析共享自动驾驶班车对可持续性的影响。我们预测了2050年的出行需求，并模拟了以特定区域用共享自动驾驶班车车队替代私家车形式的监管干预措施。通过计算驾驶相关排放、能源消耗及非驾驶相关排放，我们得出了全生命周期排放量。结果显示，全生命周期排放减少了0.4%至9.6%，能源消耗减少了1.5%至12.2%。