Explainably estimating confidence in published scholarly work offers opportunity for faster and more robust scientific progress. We develop a synthetic prediction market to assess the credibility of published claims in the social and behavioral sciences literature. We demonstrate our system and detail our findings using a collection of known replication projects. We suggest that this work lays the foundation for a research agenda that creatively uses AI for peer review.

翻译：我们开发了一个合成预测市场,以评估社会和行为科学文献中已发表的主张的可信度。 我们利用一系列已知的复制项目展示了我们的系统并详细介绍了我们的调查结果。 我们建议这项工作为创造性地利用大赦国际进行同行审查的研究议程打下基础。