We develop and compare e-variables for testing whether $k$ samples of data are drawn from the same distribution, the alternative being that they come from different elements of an exponential family. We consider the GRO (growth-rate optimal) e-variables for (1) a 'small' null inside the same exponential family, and (2) a 'large' nonparametric null, as well as (3) an e-variable arrived at by conditioning on the sum of the sufficient statistics. (2) and (3) are efficiently computable, and extend ideas from Turner et al. [2021] and Wald [1947] respectively from Bernoulli to general exponential families. We provide theoretical and simulation-based comparisons of these e-variables in terms of their logarithmic growth rate, and find that for small effects all four e-variables behave surprisingly similarly; for the Gaussian location and Poisson families, e-variables (1) and (3) coincide; for Bernoulli, (1) and (2) coincide; but in general, whether (2) or (3) grows faster against the small null is family-dependent. We furthermore discuss algorithms for numerically approximating (1).
翻译:本文发展并比较了用于检验$k$个数据样本是否来自同一分布的e变量,其备择假设为样本来自指数族的不同元素。我们考虑以下三种情形的GRO(增长率最优)e变量:(1)在同一指数族内的"小"原假设;(2)非参数化的"大"原假设;以及(3)通过以充分统计量之和为条件构造的e变量。其中(2)和(3)可高效计算,并分别将Turner等[2021]和Wald[1947]的思想从伯努利分布推广至一般指数族。我们从对数增长率角度提供了这些e变量的理论与模拟比较,发现对于小效应量,所有四种e变量的表现惊人地相似;对于高斯位置族和泊松族,e变量(1)与(3)重合;对于伯努利分布,(1)与(2)重合;但一般而言,(2)与(3)中哪个在"小"原假设下增长更快取决于具体族。此外,我们还讨论了数值近似计算(1)的算法。