The Metropolitan Transit Authority (MTA) proposed building a new light rail route called the Interborough Express (IBX) to provide a direct, fast transit linkage between Queens and Brooklyn. An open-access synthetic citywide trip agenda dataset and a block-group-level mode choice model are used to assess the potential impact IBX could bring to New York City (NYC). IBX could save 28.1 minutes to potential riders across the city. For travelers either going to or departing from areas close to IBX, the average time saving is projected to be 29.7 minutes. IBX is projected to have more than 254 thousand daily ridership after its completion (69% higher than reported in the official IBX proposal). Among those riders, more than 78 thousand people (30.8%) would come from low-income households while 165 thousand people (64.7%) would start or end along the IBX corridor. The addition of IBX would attract more than 50 thousand additional daily trips to transit mode, among which more than 16 thousand would be switched from using private vehicles, reducing potential greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 29.28 metric tons per day. IBX can also bring significant consumer surplus benefits to the communities, which are estimated to be $1.25 USD per trip, or as high as $1.64 per trip made by a low-income traveler. While benefits are proportionately higher for lower-income users, the service does not appear to significantly reduce the proportion of travelers whose consumer surpluses fall below 10% of the population average (already quite low).
翻译:大都会运输署(MTA)提议建设一条名为跨区快线(IBX)的新型轻轨线路,旨在为皇后区与布鲁克林区之间提供直接、快速的公共交通连接。本研究采用开放获取的全市合成出行日程数据集及街区组层面的出行方式选择模型,评估IBX对纽约市可能产生的潜在影响。IBX可为全市潜在乘客节省总计28.1万分钟的出行时间。对于往返IBX邻近区域的出行者,人均节省时间预计达29.7分钟。IBX建成后预计每日客流量将超过25.4万人次(较官方IBX提案报告数据高出69%)。其中逾7.8万人(30.8%)来自低收入家庭,16.5万人(64.7%)的出行起讫点位于IBX走廊沿线。IBX的增设预计每日可吸引超过5万人次转向公共交通出行,其中超过1.6万人次将由私人交通工具转换而来,每日可减少潜在温室气体排放29.28公吨。IBX还能为社区带来显著的消费者剩余效益,预计单次出行平均获益1.25美元,低收入出行者的单次出行获益更高达1.64美元。尽管低收入用户获得的效益比例更高,但该服务并未显著降低消费者剩余低于人口平均值10%(已处于较低水平)的出行者比例。