The rise of ideological divides in public discourse has received considerable attention in recent years. However, much of this research has been concentrated on Western democratic nations, leaving other regions largely unexplored. Here, we delve into the political landscape of Pakistan, a nation marked by intricate political dynamics and persistent turbulence. Spanning from 2018 to 2022, our analysis of Twitter data allows us to capture pivotal shifts and developments in Pakistan's political arena. By examining interactions and content generated by politicians affiliated with major political parties, we reveal a consistent and active presence of politicians on Twitter, with opposition parties exhibiting particularly robust engagement. We explore the alignment of party audiences, highlighting a notable convergence among opposition factions over time. Our analysis also uncovers significant shifts in political affiliations, including the transition of politicians to the opposition alliance. Quantitatively, we assess evolving interaction patterns, showcasing the prevalence of homophilic connections while identifying a growing interconnection among audiences of opposition parties. Our study, by accurately reflecting shifts in the political landscape, underscores the reliability of our methodology and social media data as a valuable tool for monitoring political polarization and providing a nuanced understanding of macro-level trends and individual-level transformations.
翻译:近年来,公共话语中意识形态分歧的加剧引起了广泛关注。然而,此类研究大多集中于西方民主国家,其他区域尚未得到充分探索。本研究深入剖析巴基斯坦——一个政治动态错综复杂且持续动荡的国家——的政治格局。通过对2018年至2022年推特数据的分析,我们捕捉到巴基斯坦政治舞台上的关键转折与发展。通过考察主要政党政治人物的互动与内容生成,我们揭示了政治人物在推特上持续活跃的存在,其中反对党表现尤为突出。我们进一步探讨了政党受众的聚合趋势,发现反对派系间的趋同性随时间显著增强。分析还揭示了政治归属的重大转变,包括部分政治人物转向反对派联盟。在定量层面,我们评估了演变中的互动模式,展示了同质化连接的普遍性,同时识别出反对党受众间日益增强的互联性。本研究成果通过准确反映政治格局的变迁,验证了研究方法与社交媒体数据作为监测政治极化工具的可靠性,为理解宏观趋势与个体级转变提供了细微洞察。