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Signature-Kernel Based Evaluation Metrics for Robust Probabilistic and Tail-Event Forecasting
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月10日
Extreme-Path Benchmarks for Sequential Probability Forecasts
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月13日
Analyzing the retraining frequency of global forecasting models: towards more stable forecasting systems
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月10日
Kelly Betting as Bayesian Model Evaluation: A Framework for Time-Updating Probabilistic Forecasts
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月10日
Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting with Tree-Based Machine Learning and Weather Ensembles
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月13日
Probabilistic Multi-Regional Solar Power Forecasting with Any-Quantile Recurrent Neural Networks
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月5日
Probabilistic Predictions of Process-Induced Deformation in Carbon/Epoxy Composites Using a Deep Operator Network
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月3日
An End-to-End Approach for Microgrid Probabilistic Forecasting and Robust Operation via Decision-focused Learning
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月3日
Copula-Based Aggregation and Context-Aware Conformal Prediction for Reliable Renewable Energy Forecasting
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 1月31日
Is This Predictor More Informative than Another? A Decision-Theoretical Comparison
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2月2日
Long-Term Probabilistic Forecast of Vegetation Conditions Using Climate Attributes in the Four Corners Region
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 1月22日
Probabilistic Forecasting of Climate Policy Uncertainty: The Role of Macro-financial Variables and Google Search Data
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 1月19日
OrderFusion: Encoding Orderbook for End-to-End Probabilistic Intraday Electricity Price Forecasting
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 1月12日
Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Using Merit-Order Curves Time Series
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 1月9日
Modeling the uncertainty on the covariance matrix for probabilistic forecast reconciliation
Arxiv
0+阅读 · 2025年12月24日
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