Results from Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) establish the comparative effectiveness of interventions, and are in turn critical inputs for evidence-based care. However, results from RCTs are presented in (often unstructured) natural language articles describing the design, execution, and outcomes of trials; clinicians must manually extract findings pertaining to interventions and outcomes of interest from such articles. This onerous manual process has motivated work on (semi-)automating extraction of structured evidence from trial reports. In this work we propose and evaluate a text-to-text model built on instruction-tuned Large Language Models (LLMs) to jointly extract Interventions, Outcomes, and Comparators (ICO elements) from clinical abstracts, and infer the associated results reported. Manual (expert) and automated evaluations indicate that framing evidence extraction as a conditional generation task and fine-tuning LLMs for this purpose realizes considerable ($\sim$20 point absolute F1 score) gains over the previous SOTA. We perform ablations and error analyses to assess aspects that contribute to model performance, and to highlight potential directions for further improvements. We apply our model to a collection of published RCTs through mid-2022, and release a searchable database of structured findings: http://ico-relations.ebm-nlp.com
翻译:随机对照试验(RCT)的结果确立了不同干预措施间的相对有效性,进而成为循证医学实践的关键依据。然而,RCT结果通常呈现于描述试验设计、执行过程及结局的(常为非结构化的)自然语言文献中,临床医生必须手动从这些文献中提取与目标干预措施和结局相关的发现。这一繁重的人工流程推动了从试验报告中(半)自动化提取结构化证据的相关研究。本文提出并评估了一种基于指令微调大语言模型(LLMs)的文本到文本模型,该模型能够从临床摘要中联合提取干预措施、结局及对照要素(ICO要素),并推断相关的报告结果。人工(专家)评估与自动化评估均表明,将证据提取任务构建为条件生成任务,并针对该任务微调大语言模型,相较于先前最先进方法可取得显著(F1值提升约20个百分点)改进。我们通过消融实验和错误分析,评估了影响模型性能的各项因素,并明确了进一步提升的潜在方向。我们将模型应用于截至2022年中期已发表的一系列RCT,并发布了一个可检索的结构化发现数据库:http://ico-relations.ebm-nlp.com