Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) are an attractive tool for partial-observation problems in biology, where the governing dynamics are known but some compartments cannot be measured. Chemotherapy pharmacokinetics (PK) is a clean instance: drug concentration in plasma is routinely measured, but concentration in tissue -- which determines tumour kill and off-target toxicity -- is not. We benchmark a PINN against the standard clinical baseline (nonlinear least-squares on the analytical biexponential plasma solution, hereafter NLS) and a physics-agnostic neural baseline (a data-only MLP) on two PK problems. On the linear two-compartment problem, NLS is near-optimal; the PINN matches it to within a small constant factor while also producing the tissue curve in a single training pass, whereas the data-only MLP fails on tissue by roughly 10x. On a Michaelis-Menten extension (saturable elimination), the biexponential closed form no longer exists, so NLS is mis-specified and silently returns meaningless rate constants. The PINN instead exposes a deeper fact: the Michaelis-Menten two-compartment model is non-identifiable from plasma alone, and the PINN reports this honestly by converging to a basin with k12 -> 0. Adding two sparse tissue observations largely resolves identifiability: across five seeds the PINN recovers k21 to within 1% of truth and Vmax, Km to within one standard-deviation bar, while k12 moves in the correct direction (0.02 -> 0.82) but remains ~2 sigma below truth -- a recovery the closed-form NLS estimator cannot attempt at all, because its biexponential ansatz describes only plasma. Our claim is not that PINNs beat NLS. It is that PINNs offer a uniform recipe that ties the textbook estimator on the textbook problem, exposes structural identifiability that the textbook estimator hides, and absorbs heterogeneous measurements within a single loss.
翻译:物理信息神经网络(PINNs)是生物学部分观测问题中的一种有吸引力的工具,在这类问题中,控制动力学已知但部分隔室无法测量。化疗药代动力学(PK)是一个典型的实例:血浆中的药物浓度可常规测量,但组织中的浓度(决定肿瘤杀伤和非靶向毒性)无法测量。我们在两个PK问题上将PINN与标准临床基线(基于解析双指数血浆解的非线性最小二乘法,以下简称NLS)和物理无关的神经基线(纯数据MLP)进行了基准测试。在线性双隔室问题中,NLS接近最优;PINN以较小的常数因子与其匹配,同时能在单次训练过程中生成组织曲线,而纯数据MLP在组织预测上误差约为10倍。在米氏方程扩展(可饱和消除)情况下,双指数闭合形式不再存在,因此NLS被错误指定并静默返回无意义的速率常数。PINN反而揭示了一个更深层次的事实:米氏双隔室模型仅凭血浆数据不可识别,而PINN通过收敛到k12→0的盆地诚实报告了这一点。添加两个稀疏的组织观测值在很大程度上解决了可识别性问题:在五个随机种子下,PINN恢复的k21与真实值误差在1%以内,Vmax和Km在一个标准差范围内,而k12向正确方向移动(0.02→0.82),但仍比真实值低约2个标准差——这种恢复是闭合形式的NLS估算器完全无法尝试的,因为其双指数假设仅描述血浆。我们的论点并非PINN优于NLS,而是PINN提供了一种统一的方案:它在教科书问题上与教科书估算器持平,揭示了教科书估算器隐藏的结构可识别性,并将异质测量值整合到单一损失函数中。