The European Green Deal aims to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, which demands improved emissions efficiency from the transportation industry. This study uses an agent-based simulation to analyze the sustainability impacts of shared autonomous shuttles. We forecast travel demands for 2050 and simulate regulatory interventions in the form of replacing private cars with a fleet of shared autonomous shuttles in specific areas. We derive driving-related emissions, energy consumption, and non-driving-related emissions to calculate life-cycle emissions. We observe reduced life-cycle emissions from 0.4% to 9.6% and reduced energy consumption from 1.5% to 12.2%.

翻译：《欧洲绿色协议》旨在到2050年实现气候中和，这要求交通运输行业提高排放效率。本研究采用基于智能体的仿真方法，分析共享自动驾驶班车的可持续性影响。我们预测了2050年的出行需求，并模拟了在特定区域用共享自动驾驶班车车队替代私家车的监管干预措施。通过推导行驶相关排放、能源消耗及非行驶相关排放，我们计算了全生命周期排放。结果显示，全生命周期排放降低了0.4%至9.6%，能源消耗减少了1.5%至12.2%。