Climate change and other anthropogenic pressures are likely to induce tipping points in marine ecosystems, potentially leading to declines in primary productivity and fisheries. Despite increasing attention to nature-related financial risks and opportunities within the ocean economy, the extent to which these tipping points could affect investors has remained largely unexplored. Here we used satellite data to track fishing vessels operating in areas prone to marine regime shifts, as identified by their loss of resilience and vulnerability to marine heatwaves, and uncovered their corporate beneficial owners and shareholders. Despite some data gaps, we identified key countries, companies, and shareholders exposed to tipping risk. We also outline the potential challenges and opportunities that these actors may face if marine ecosystems shift to less productive states.

翻译：气候变化及其他人为压力很可能引发海洋生态系统临界点，可能导致初级生产力与渔业产量下降。尽管海洋经济中自然相关金融风险与机遇日益受到关注，但这些临界点对投资者的潜在影响仍基本未被探索。本文利用卫星数据追踪在易发生海洋状态转换区域（依据其恢复力丧失与海洋热浪脆弱性识别）作业的渔船，并揭示了其企业受益所有人及股东。尽管存在部分数据缺口，我们仍识别出暴露于临界风险的关键国家、公司与股东。同时，我们概述了若海洋生态系统向低生产力状态转变时，这些主体可能面临的潜在挑战与机遇。