The Metropolitan Transit Authority (MTA) proposed building a new light rail route called the Interborough Express (IBX) to provide a direct, fast transit linkage between Queens and Brooklyn. An open-access synthetic citywide trip agenda dataset and a block-group-level mode choice model are used to assess the potential impact IBX could bring to New York City (NYC). IBX could save 28.1 minutes to potential riders across the city. For travelers either going to or departing from areas close to IBX, the average time saving is projected to be 29.7 minutes. IBX is projected to have more than 272 thousand daily ridership after its completion (81% higher than reported in the official IBX proposal). Among those riders, more than 58 thousand people (21.4%) would come from low-income households while 185 thousand people (68.2%) would start or end along the IBX corridor. The addition of IBX would attract more than 40 thousand additional daily trips to transit mode, among which more than 16 thousand would be switched from using private vehicles, reducing potential greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 30.63 metric tons per day. IBX can also bring significant consumer surplus benefits to the communities, which are estimated to be $0.89 USD per trip. However, the service does not appear to significantly reduce the proportion of travelers whose consumer surpluses fall below 10% of the population average (already quite low).
翻译:大都会运输署(MTA)提议新建一条名为"跨区快线"(Interborough Express, IBX)的轻轨线路,以在皇后区和布鲁克林区之间提供直达、快速的公交连接。本研究利用开放获取的全市合成出行行程数据集与街区群级出行方式选择模型,评估IBX可能为纽约市带来的潜在影响。IBX可为全市潜在乘客节省28.1分钟通勤时间;对于往返IBX邻近区域的出行者,预计平均节省29.7分钟。线路建成后日均客流量预计超过27.2万人次(较官方IBX方案中报告的数据高出81%)。在这些乘客中,超过5.8万人(21.4%)来自低收入家庭,另有18.5万人(68.2%)的出行起点或终点位于IBX走廊沿线。IBX的增设将吸引日均超过4万次新增公共交通出行,其中逾1.6万次由私家车转换而来,预计每日可减少30.63公吨温室气体排放。该线路还能为社区带来显著的消费者剩余效益,估计每次出行产生0.89美元福利。然而,该服务似乎未能显著降低消费者剩余低于人口平均值10%的出行者比例(这一比例本已相当低)。