CATASTROAGRI is an application developed to load, analyze and interactively visualize relevant data on catastrophic agricultural insurance. It also focuses on the analysis of an ARIMA (0,1,1) (0,1,1) model to identify and estimate patterns in the agricultural data of the Puno Region, it presents a decreasing trend because there is a significant relationship between successive values of the time series, We can also state that it is not stationary because the mean and variance do not remain constant over time and the series has periods, and it is observed that the cases are decreasing and increasing over the years, especially the amount to indemnify due to the behavior of the climate in the highlands. The results of the analysis show that agricultural insurance plays an important role in protecting farmers against losses caused by adverse climatic events. The importance of concentrating resources and indemnities on the most affected crops and in the provinces with the highest agricultural production is emphasized. The results of the users' evaluation showed a high level of satisfaction, as well as ease of use.
翻译:CATASTROAGRI是一款用于加载、分析及交互式可视化巨灾农业保险相关数据的应用。该应用重点对ARIMA(0,1,1)(0,1,1)模型进行分析,以识别和估计普诺地区农业数据中的模式。数据显示出下降趋势,因时间序列连续值之间存在显著相关性。同时可以判定该序列非平稳,因其均值和方差不随时间保持恒定,且序列具有周期性。观察发现,各年份的案例数量呈现增减波动,特别是由于高原地区气候特性导致的赔偿金额变化。分析结果表明,农业保险在保护农民免受恶劣气候事件损失方面发挥着重要作用。研究强调应当将资源和赔偿金集中用于受灾最严重的作物以及农业产量最高的省份。用户评估结果显示,该应用具有较高的满意度和易用性。