Cyber cognitive attacks leverage disruptive innovations (DIs) to exploit psychological biases and manipulate decision-making processes. Emerging technologies, such as AI-driven disinformation and synthetic media, have accelerated the scale and sophistication of these threats. Prior studies primarily categorize current cognitive attack tactics, lacking predictive mechanisms to anticipate future DIs and their malicious use in cognitive attacks. This paper addresses these gaps by introducing a novel predictive methodology for forecasting the emergence of DIs and their malicious uses in cognitive attacks. We identify trends in adversarial tactics and propose proactive defense strategies.

翻译：网络认知攻击利用颠覆性创新技术，利用心理偏见并操纵决策过程。人工智能驱动的虚假信息和合成媒体等新兴技术加速了这些威胁的规模和复杂性。先前的研究主要对当前的认知攻击策略进行分类，缺乏预测未来颠覆性创新技术及其在认知攻击中恶意使用的机制。本文通过引入一种新颖的预测方法来解决这些不足，该方法用于预测颠覆性创新技术的出现及其在认知攻击中的恶意使用。我们识别了对抗性策略的趋势，并提出了主动防御策略。