Learned world models are useful only over horizons on which their rollout error remains controlled. We study trust-horizon certification for latent world models with known group symmetries. Given a one-step latent residual and a finite-time expansion estimate, we form a raw horizon curve and calibrate it with a split-conformal multiplicative factor. On the reproducible audit set, the conformal factor is $γ_α=1.0$: the raw certificate is already conservative under the audit protocol. Across 50 stable audits, we observe zero anti-conservative violations, corresponding to an exact-binomial 95% upper bound of 5.8% on the violation rate. Our main structural result is that exact equivariance transports a calibrated trust-horizon curve over the group orbit: when the environment dynamics, encoder, predictor, action transform, and latent metric satisfy the stated equivariance/invariance conditions, rollout errors and trust horizons are orbit-constant. Empirically, the implemented models exhibit small orbit-transport residuals, with median 1.1% and maximum 4.1% over 14 orbit audits. The certificate is also non-vacuous (median certified-to-measured horizon ratio 0.67). A certificate-level calibration-cost study shows two complementary regimes. On a symmetric 2D substrate, equivariant, plain, and augmented models are all orbit-valid from a single calibration sector -- no separation, because the substrate already makes non-equivariant baselines approximately orbit-robust. A 3D yaw audit shows the other regime: the equivariant model obtains a one-sector safe and non-vacuous orbit-valid certificate, while healthy non-equivariant baselines pay violation, slack, sharpness, or additional-sector cost. The certificate is a conservative, distributional audit rather than a global reachability guarantee, and certificate-guided subgoal spacing is not confirmed in the current 3D CEM-MPC behavior layer.

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In ill-posed inverse problems, the recovered solution depends as much on the prior as on the data, yet much of the engineering knowledge that could serve as that prior is recorded qualitatively rather than in formal mathematical form. Here we test whether sentence embeddings can act as an inference-time interface for injecting geological descriptions into a learned Darcy-flow inverse solver. Across six synthetic geological classes and an exploratory transfer to a benchmark reservoir model (SPE10), we vary only the conditioning representation and find that text conditioning reduces reconstruction error by 81 % relative to a no-text counterfactual. Most of this gain comes from a categorical, class-level constraint whose value concentrates where the hydraulic head leaves the conductivity field underdetermined, while within-class geometric detail is secondary and pattern-dependent. Compared with a discrete class label, sentence embeddings add little dense-observation accuracy but improve training stability and enable paraphrase-based sensitivity analysis and open-vocabulary inputs. These results show that language priors can serve as an engineering-informatics interface for injecting geological knowledge into learned inverse solvers, while clarifying when they help and what signal they actually carry.

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Ordinal classification (OC) arises in high-stakes domains such as medicine and finance, where uncertainty quantification must account for the severity of ordinal errors. Conformal prediction (CP) provides distribution-free prediction sets with marginal coverage guarantees; however, its practical effectiveness depends critically on the choice of nonconformity function. We introduce a CP method for ordinal classification based on the ranked probability score (RPS), a proper scoring rule defined over cumulative predictive distributions. Although it reflects ordinal risk quite naturally, it has largely been neglected in conformal ordinal prediction (COP). When used as a measure of nonconformity, RPS yields median-centered contiguous prediction sets by construction. The method is model-agnostic, supports both assessed and grouped ordered categorical outcomes, and permits efficient implementation compared to greedy interval selection procedures. Across multiple ordinal image and tabular datasets, RPS-based CP produces contiguous prediction sets and strikes a favorable balance between prediction set width and the magnitude of ordinal miscoverage relative to existing CP methods.

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Reviewing recorded interviews for affective cues such as composure, hesitation and agitation is slow and subjective, and cloud services that could automate it require sensitive audio to leave the device. EmotionAI is a fully local Computational Intelligence (CI) pipeline that couples Speech Emotion Recognition (SER) with generative reasoning. Speaker diarisation, Whisper Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) and a wav2vec2 emotion classifier produce per-segment affective evidence, which is then passed to an adversarial three-model local Large Language Model (LLM) panel for timestamp-grounded and citation-constrained question answering. Zero-shot evaluation on the RAVDESS four-class English subset (n = 672) exposes cross-corpus fragility rather than classifier superiority: the deployed classifier scores 48.8% accuracy, above random (24.9%) and majority (28.6%) baselines but below an in-domain MFCC + logistic-regression comparator (71.0%). The complete pipeline runs in a mean 157 s on CPU (real-time factor approximately 1.33) with zero external calls. The contribution is not state-of-the-art SER but an auditable, privacy-preserving integration of imperfect affective evidence into grounded conversational analysis, together with an honest empirical account of where cross-corpus transfer and human-centred validation still fall short.

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Reasoning about relational structures remains a significant challenge for neural models, particularly when they must systematically apply learned knowledge to problem instances that are harder than those seen in training. Progress is hampered by the difficulty of evaluating such generalization, since a priori, it is rarely clear what makes an instance hard. We study how this issue can be addressed by using large language models (LLMs) to automate benchmark generation, learning to produce increasingly challenging instances in an end-to-end manner. Concretely, given a world parametrized by Datalog rules, and an Edge Transformer as the reasoning evaluator, we use LLM-driven evolutionary search (based on FunSearch) and autonomous agentic search to discover sampling functions that yield hard problem instances. We also show that the Edge Transformer can be improved using this data such that it generalizes well to further data perturbations. Finally, we show that the same machinery can be applied to novel worlds proposed by LLMs, opening the door to autonomous research on neural relational reasoning.

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Knowledge graph embedding (KGE) models predict single-hop links well but have no mechanism for zero-shot compositional queries: multi-hop questions whose relation chains never appeared during training. Holographic Reduced Representations (HRR), which bind and unbind symbols via circular convolution, are a theoretically attractive candidate, since binding is approximately invertible and associative. We test whether this promise holds. We study two holographic memory variants, real-valued HRR and phase-only Fourier HRR (FHRR), each with a modern Hopfield cleanup, on FB15k-237 over five seeds. Four findings follow. First, both are competitive single-hop retrievers (filtered MRR 0.358 +/- 0.002 for HRR, 0.350 +/- 0.021 for FHRR). Second, neither composes zero-shot: accuracy stays at chance across all cleanup temperatures. Third, the main contribution, we localise the failure mechanistically. A hop-1 probe shows the memory recovers the correct intermediate entity with high fidelity (MRR 0.896 +/- 0.002 for HRR), yet composition still fails even with a verified-correct intermediate. A second probe shows why: posing the ground-truth second-hop fact as a standalone atomic query, bypassing composition entirely, already recovers it at only 0.26 to 0.48x average atomic accuracy, uniformly across relation fan-out. The bottleneck is not the bind-unbind algebra or the cleanup; it is that facts compositional chains pass through are intrinsically harder for the superposed memory to retrieve, a capacity and interference effect present already at a single hop. Fourth, we prove (Lemma 4.1) that FHRR's softmax cleanup is not phase-equivariant, compounding the primary failure on the minority of chains where hop-1 itself errs. Fixing zero-shot composition requires improving retrieval capacity under superposition, not just redesigning the cleanup.

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LLM agent memory is now treated as a first-class architectural component in five major surveys published between January and April 2026. None of these surveys treats project governance, capital structure, or license posture as architectural variables. We argue they are. In a constructed sample of 105 production-relevant open-source data-infrastructure and AI-tooling projects, we catalogue 38 license-and-sustainability events between 2018 and May 2026. About a quarter of the sample (24 percent) experienced at least one adverse event. The conditional rates split sharply by structure: 46 percent for single-vendor venture-backed projects, 2.5 percent for foundation-governed projects funded outside the venture cycle. The headline differential -- roughly nineteen-fold -- is invariant to the most contested coding choice in the catalogue; we show the sensitivity table in Section 7. A small subset of foundation-governed projects with venture-backed corporate stewards (n=3) contains one adverse event. The cell is too small for stable estimation, but it points to a mechanism: foundation governance may block unilateral relicensing while leaving distribution decisions to the steward. Annualized incidence within the catalogue rose from 2.7 to 4.2 events per year across the window. Counterfactuals -- PostgreSQL, pgvector, SQLite, Apache Kafka, Caddy -- each show stability arising from a different structural source: distributed copyright, absence of monetisation pressure, foundation governance with non-venture stewardship. We propose a six-field decision instrument for architects choosing memory components: governance, capital structure, license, foundation membership, fork-or-migration availability, and steward concentration.

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We ask a representation-learning question about physical world models: when does a conservation law remain certifiable after a model learns a latent representation? A certified horizon bounds -- in advance, from measurable model defects -- how many steps a rollout provably stays on a physical invariant's level set. The key design choice is what is certified: not a learned latent Hamiltonian or a learned scalar witness (a model can conserve either while drifting in true energy), but the decoded physical invariant obtained by decoding the latent state and evaluating the known invariant. Around this object we derive shell-horizon certificates whose budget decomposes into representation, readout, and latent-dynamics defects, with a monotone alignment bridge through which a soft learned witness yields a certified horizon for the decoded invariant, and test them across state, learned-lift, and pixel observations on conservative systems. Conservation certificates can survive learned representation, but not all geometric priors survive equally: hard canonical symplectic structure yields the longest horizons in known phase coordinates yet does not cross a learned chart, whereas a controlled-Lipschitz-aligned soft invariant survives in the learned-representation settings we test; pixel certification is recovered on a readout-stable sub-tube; and the Kepler problem exposes a geometric boundary. The central object is therefore not a latent Hamiltonian, but a decoded physical invariant whose robustness to representation learning can be measured, certified, and falsified.

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Financial decision-making is contextual: forecasting prices, valuing companies, and assessing event exposure weigh price history, accounting fundamentals, macroeconomic regime, and contemporaneous text. A benchmark over these four signals is hard to build because finance violates four assumptions of time-series evaluation: text must be gated by its publication date to prevent look-ahead, quarterly fundamentals are reported with a one- to ninety-day lag, filing text is partly redundant with the numerical statement fields it accompanies, and macroeconomic regimes leak across calendar splits. No public benchmark addresses all four signals jointly. MacroLens covers 4,416 U.S. small- and micro-cap equities over 2021-2026. Seven tasks share one point-in-time panel of prices, 46.8M XBRL accounting facts, 53 macroeconomic series, 295,860 SEC filings, and 215,882 news articles, plus a scenario layer of 1,130 macroeconomic events across 49 types automatically detected and rendered as natural language. Tasks span contextual forecasting, public and private valuation, statement generation from fundamentals and descriptions, scenario-conditioned returns, and real-estate valuation. We evaluate 19 methods across six families spanning naive heuristics through time-series foundation models, fine-tuned LLM-based time-series models, and zero-shot large language models (LLMs), plus a five-step feature-context ablation on two frontier LLMs and a gradient-boosted baseline. MacroLens is released at https://huggingface.co/datasets/DeepAuto-AI/MacroLens.

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Thin-structure segmentation--power lines, cracks, lane markings at 1-3 pixel width--requires preserving connectivity that standard representations preclude: patching severs continuous structures and conventional superpixels merge thin targets into background before classification. Topology-aware losses penalize connectivity breaks at the objective level but cannot recover what the representation has already destroyed. We propose SEMIR, a framework that replaces the pixel lattice with a parameterized graph minor whose contraction map preserves thin-structure connectivity under the contraction criterion. The minor collapses millions of pixels into tens or hundreds of boundary-aligned supernodes, enabling full-resolution inference without patching at scales demonstrated up to 21 MP in this paper; a lightweight GNN classifies the reduced graph and an exact map lifts predictions to pixel resolution. One pipeline--identical architecture, features, loss, and GNN hyperparameters across all dataset--matches or exceeds domain-specific baselines on TTPLA (power lines), CrackSeg9k (pavement cracks), and SkyScapes Lane (aerial markings) on Dice, IoU, and Boundary F1 while reducing mask fragmentation by at least 4.6x relative to SLIC at matched inference.

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Tailoring stroke rehabilitation requires assessing how movements are organized, not merely if they succeed. Currently, this assessment is a rate-limiting bottleneck. Instruments like the Action Research Arm Test (ARAT) compress rich behavioral observations into single ordinal endpoints, discarding the movement-quality details that distinguish recovery from compensation. Automated alternatives typically chase accuracy on noisy, single-observer labels to output opaque scores - a technology-centric approach that rarely reaches clinical practice. To address this, we present xAARA: an engine designed to augment rather than replace clinical judgment. From multi-view video, xAARA returns ARAT assessments with calibrated uncertainty and explanations across task, movement-phase, and movement-quality levels. Treating clinical scoring as an ill-posed inference problem, xAARA composes 692 calibrated multimodal models via a Dynamic Bayesian Network with entropy-based gating. It qualifies results against clinical validity rules and defers low-confidence cases. In 105 stroke survivors (788 exercises), xAARA achieved 94.2% task accuracy (Cohen's kappa=0.934) and 81.3% movement-phase accuracy (kappa=0.727), reducing predictive uncertainty by 96.1% compared to single-clinician scoring. For subjective cases, it matched at least one rater 100% of the time and never returned out-of-range scores. Four independent clinicians validated the assessments and indicated willingness to adopt the system. We argue that principled uncertainty quantification and clinician-aligned explainability are the critical bridges moving automated assessment from technical demonstration to a deployable clinical tool.

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A central aspiration of mechanistic interpretability is controllability: if we know where a behavior is represented in a model's activations, we should be able to modify it. This rests on a hidden premise -- that the direction which detects a behavior and the direction which controls it are the same, or close. We test this geometrically: what is the angle between the direction that best detects a behavior and the one that best causes it? If detection implies control the cosine is near 1; otherwise it quantifies a detection-intervention gap. On Gemma 2-2B-it, output format (clean JSON vs markdown fencing) collapses both roles onto one axis. Hallucination does not: the model detects fake entities with perfect linear separability (AUC = 1.000 from layer 5), yet that direction sits at cos = 0.12 (about 83 degrees) from the direction producing a refusal -- a small, reproducible alignment, far from the cos = 1 that "detection is control" would require. A detector built from activations, with no chosen tokens, likewise fails to align (cos = -0.06). The gap generalizes: across four models from three families and two scales (1B-9B), cos stays in [0.12, 0.20], identical before and after instruction tuning (0.1197 vs 0.1200), placing its origin in pretraining. A 15-degree rotation toward the refusal direction partially bridges it -- 73% and 60% refusal on two held-out fake-entity categories at 1.8% false positives. We then ask whether this cosine predicts steerability, and it does not: detection is a high-dimensional class, not a single direction, and what separates the steerable case is functional, not readable from a static angle. The cosine is a weight-computable signature of the dissociation between knowing and steering, not a predictor of it.

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The Hitchhiker's Guide to Agentic AI is a comprehensive practitioner's reference for building autonomous AI systems. The book covers the full stack from first principles to production deployment, organized around a central thesis: building great agentic systems requires understanding every layer of the pipeline, not just one. The book opens with the LLM substrate -- transformer architecture, GPU systems, training and fine-tuning (SFT,LoRA, MoE), model compression, and inference optimization -- treated as essential foundations rather than the primary focus. It then develops the alignment and reasoning layer: reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF), PPO, DPO and its variants, GRPO, reward modeling, and RL for large reasoning models including chain-of-thought and test-time scaling. The second half is devoted to agentic AI proper. Topics include agentic training and trajectory-based RL, retrieval-augmented generation (RAG and Agentic RAG), memory systems (in-context, external, episodic, and semantic), agent harness design and context management, and a taxonomy of agent design patterns. Inter-agent coordination is covered in depth: the Model Context Protocol (MCP), agent skills and tool use, the Agent-to-Agent (A2A) communication protocol, and multi-agent architectures spanning centralized, decentralized, and hierarchical topologies. The book concludes with agent development frameworks, agentic UI design, evaluation methodology for agentic tasks, and production deployment. Each chapter pairs rigorous theoretical foundations with implementation guidance, code examples, and references to the primary literature.

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Predicting transcriptional responses to genetic perturbations could reduce the experimental burden of functional genomics, but extrapolation to genes that were never perturbed during training remains difficult. We present Stable-Shift, a structured method for estimating unseen-gene responses. Stable-Shift aggregates single-cell measurements into perturbation-level expression shifts, fits a low-rank response basis using training perturbations only, and predicts an unseen gene's coordinates in that basis from biological context. The context combines STRING interactions, network structure, control-cell expression statistics, and Gene Ontology annotations; the evaluated implementation uses graph convolution to integrate these inputs. On the supplied K562 Perturb-seq benchmark, Stable-Shift obtained 0.592 cosine similarity, compared with 0.569 for GEARS, together with higher Spearman correlation and top-gene precision among the evaluated methods. Its mean cosine similarity over five unseen-gene splits was 0.589 +/- 0.008. The same ordering was observed in the supplied graph-aware, residualized, gene-space, and Norman-dataset comparisons. These results support further study of biologically structured latent-response prediction, while the lower gene-space accuracy and sensitivity to sparse graph neighborhoods limit the scope of the present conclusions.

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Spectral graph neural networks (GNNs) interpret message passing as frequency-selective filtering. While low-order spectral filters are efficient, their limited selectivity often leads to weak attenuation outside the passband, whereas high-order alternatives introduce optimization challenges. We propose DCQ-GNN, a spectral GNN based on a compact bank of adaptive convex--concave quadratic filters. By restricting the filter order to two while explicitly exploiting complementary curvature, DCQ-GNN improves spectral selectivity as quantified by Dirichlet energy and entropy measures without resorting to high-order polynomial expansions. The model fuses filter outputs through a node-adaptive gating mechanism to enable node-wise structure-aware spectral selection. We provide a formal spectral analysis grounded in Dirichlet energy attenuation, von Neumann entropy, and curvature polarity, and derive explicit characterizations of filter behavior across varying levels of homophily and structural perturbations. Extensive benchmarks on 10 datasets show that DCQ-GNN ties for the top average rank (3.0) on heterophilic graphs and obtains the second-best rank (4.2) on homophilic graphs, remaining competitive with representative high-order polynomial spectral filters. Furthermore, under strong structural perturbations, DCQ-GNN exhibits substantially smaller performance degradation compared to both first-order and high-order baselines. These results demonstrate that curvature-aware quadratic banks provide a robust and efficient alternative to high-order spectral models while preserving optimization stability and computational efficiency.

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