Membership inference attacks expose whether individual records were used to train a model, yet existing attacks on diffusion models are largely heuristic and can require substantial query budgets. We introduce DIME (Denoiser Ideal Membership Error), a theoretically grounded and query-efficient framework for membership inference on diffusion models. Our starting point is an exact characterization of the optimal diffusion denoiser for a finite training set, which reveals that membership leakage is governed by the denoiser's implicit reconstruction error. This error decomposes into two complementary signals: a bias term, capturing reconstruction accuracy, and a previously unexplored local crowding term, capturing the geometry of nearby training examples. Both admit efficient estimators using only model queries, yielding a practical attack with as few as two queries. Across CIFAR-10/100, STL10-U, CelebA, and ImageNet, DIME consistently outperforms prior attacks at comparable or substantially lower query cost, improving TPR at 1% FPR by up to $3\times$; remarkably, its two-query variant can outperform existing 30-query baselines. Finally, we suggest, discuss, and evaluate specific defenses to counteract such powerful membership tests.

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