Several subjective proposals have been made for interpreting the strength of evidence in likelihood ratios and Bayes factors. I identify a more objective scaling by modelling the effect of evidence on belief. The resulting scale with base 3.73 aligns with previous proposals and may partly explain intuitions.
翻译:针对似然比与贝叶斯因子中证据强度的解读,已有若干主观性提议。本文通过对证据影响信念的过程进行建模,提出一种更具客观性的标尺。生成的以3.73为底数的标尺与先前提议一致,且可部分解释相关直觉。