We study the severity of conflict-related violence in Colombia at an unprecedented granular scale in space and across time. Splitting the data into different geographical regions and different historically-relevant eras, we uncover variations in the patterns of conflict severity which we then explain in terms of local conflict actors' different collective behaviors and/or conditions using a simple mathematical model of conflict actors' grouping dynamics (coalescence and fragmentation). Specifically, variations in the approximate scaling values of the distributions of event lethalities can be explained by the changing strength ratio of the local conflict actors for distinct conflict eras and organizational regions. In this way, our findings open the door to a new granular spectroscopy of human conflicts in terms of local conflict actor strength ratios for any armed conflict.

翻译：我们以空前精细的空间与时间粒度研究了哥伦比亚冲突相关暴力的严重程度。通过将数据按不同地理区域和历史相关时期进行划分，我们发现了冲突严重性模式的变化，并利用一个简单的冲突行动者群体动力学（凝聚与分裂）数学模型，从当地冲突行动者不同的集体行为和/或条件角度对这些变化进行了解释。具体而言，事件致死率分布近似标度值的变化，可以通过不同冲突时期和组织区域中当地冲突行动者力量对比的变化得到解释。通过这种方式，我们的发现为从任何武装冲突中当地冲突行动者力量对比角度，建立一种新的精细人类冲突光谱学打开了大门。