Post-AGI information systems won't merely distract governance from important problems. They will systematically transform how institutions make decisions in ways that progressively remove humans from meaningful participation in resource allocation. We show that policy myopia -- the tendency to prioritize visible crises over invisible structural risks -- is not a symptom of poor attention management but a mechanism producing irreversible human disempowerment. Through three entangled mechanisms (salience capture displaces consequentialist reasoning, capacity cascade makes recovery structurally infeasible, value lock-in crystallizes outdated preferences), policy myopia couples with institutional dynamics to create a self-reinforcing equilibrium where human disempowerment becomes the rational outcome of institutional optimization. We formalize these mechanisms through coupled dynamical systems modeling and demonstrate through numerical simulation that these mechanisms operate simultaneously across economic, political, and cultural systems, amplifying each other through feedback loops.
翻译:后AGI信息系统不仅会使治理偏离重要问题,更将系统性地改变机构的决策方式,逐步将人类排除在资源分配的有效参与之外。本文证明,政策短视——即倾向于优先处理显性危机而忽视隐性结构性风险的倾向——并非注意力管理不善的表征,而是导致不可逆转的人类赋权丧失的生成机制。通过三个相互交织的机制(显著性捕获取代结果主义推理、能力级联使恢复在结构上不可行、价值锁定固化过时偏好),政策短视与制度动态耦合,形成自我强化的均衡状态,使人类赋权丧失成为制度优化的理性结果。我们通过耦合动力系统模型对这些机制进行形式化描述,并通过数值模拟证明,这些机制在经济、政治和文化系统中同步运作,通过反馈回路相互放大。