Assessing advancements of technology is essential for creating science and technology policies and making informed investments in the technology market. However, current methods primarily focus on the characteristics of the technologies themselves, making it difficult to accurately assess technologies across various fields and generations. To address this challenge, we propose a novel approach that uses bibliometrics, specifically literature citation networks, to measure changes in knowledge flow throughout the evolution of technology. This method can identify diverse trends in technology development and is an effective tool for evaluating technological advancements. We demonstrate its accuracy and applicability by applying it to mobile communication technology and comparing its quantitative results with other assessment methods. Our work provides critical support for assessing different technical routes and formulating technology policy.
翻译:评估技术进步对于制定科技政策以及在技术市场中做出明智投资至关重要。然而,现有方法主要关注技术本身特征,难以准确评估跨领域、跨代际的技术。为解决这一难题,我们提出了一种新颖的方法,利用文献计量学,特别是文献引文网络,来度量技术演化过程中知识流动的变化。该方法能够识别技术发展的多样化趋势,是评估技术进步的有效工具。我们将其应用于移动通信技术,并通过与其他评估方法的定量结果比较,验证了其准确性和适用性。本研究为评估不同技术路线和制定技术政策提供了重要支持。