Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have increasingly relied on reinforcement learning (RL) to improve their reasoning capabilities. Three approaches have been widely adopted: (i) Proximal policy optimization and advantage actor-critic rely on a deep neural network to estimate the value function of the learning policy in order to reduce the variance of the policy gradient. However, estimating and maintaining such a value network incurs substantial computational and memory overhead. (ii) Group relative policy optimization (GRPO) avoids training a value network by approximating the value function using sample averages. However, GRPO samples a large number of reasoning traces per prompt to achieve accurate value function approximation, making it computationally expensive. (iii) REINFORCE-type algorithms sample only a single reasoning trajectory per prompt, which reduces computational cost but suffers from poor sample efficiency. In this work, we focus on a practical, resource-constrained setting in which only a small number of reasoning traces can be sampled per prompt, while low-variance gradient estimation remains essential for high-quality policy learning. To address this challenge, we bring classical nonparametric statistical methods, which are both computationally and statistically efficient, to LLM reasoning. We employ kernel smoothing as a concrete example for value function estimation and the subsequent policy optimization. Numerical and theoretical results demonstrate that our proposal achieves accurate value and gradient estimation, leading to improved policy optimization.

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