Current Audio-Visual Speech Recognition (AVSR) models achieve near-perfect performance on the standard LRS3 benchmark, raising concerns of adaptive overfitting. To systematically assess true generalisability, we construct a highly controlled, unseen evaluation set subsampled from the massive MultiVSR dataset. Unlike standard out-of-distribution benchmarks, our subset strictly matches the acoustic, visual, and demographic distributions of the LRS3 test set. Evaluating five state-of-the-art architectures reveals a universal performance collapse, proving that current systems fail to generalise even under strictly aligned conditions. Through a fine-grained attribute analysis across seven factors, we isolate the specific drivers of this degradation. Furthermore, we uncover a profound lexical bias, expose distinct error patterns, and surprisingly reveal that audio-visual performance even lags behind audio-only settings. We release our matched test set for future benchmarking.

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