How should my own decisions affect my beliefs about the outcomes I expect to achieve? If taking a certain action makes me view myself as a certain type of person, it might affect how I think others view me, and how I view others who are similar to me. This can influence my expected utility calculations and change which action I perceive to be best. Whether and how it should is subject to debate, with contenders for how to think about it including evidential decision theory, causal decision theory, and functional decision theory. In this paper, we show that mechanised causal models can be used to characterise and differentiate the most important decision theories, and generate a taxonomy of different decision theories.
翻译:我自己的决策应如何影响我对预期结果的信念?如果采取某一行动使我将自己视为某种特定类型的人,那么这可能会影响我认为他人如何看待我,以及我如何看待与自己相似的他人。这会影响我的期望效用计算,并改变我认为最佳的行动。是否应当产生这种影响以及如何产生影响,目前尚存争议,相关理论包括证据决策理论、因果决策理论和功能决策理论。本文表明,机械化因果模型可用于刻画和区分最重要的决策理论,并生成不同决策理论的分类体系。