The Matrix Spencer conjecture asserts that for all symmetric matrices $A_1,\ldots,A_n\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ with $\|A_i\|\le1$ there are signs $\varepsilon_1,\ldots,\varepsilon_n\in\{-1,1\}$ with $\|\sum_{i=1}^n\varepsilon_iA_i\|=O(\sqrt n)$. We prove it: a signing of discrepancy below $8\sqrt n$ always exists. We also give a randomized algorithm that finds a signing of discrepancy below $12\sqrt n$ with failure probability at most $p$. The algorithm uses $n^{3+o(1)}\operatorname{polylog}(1/p)$ arithmetic operations in the real-arithmetic model. This matches the size $n^3$ of the dense input up to subpolynomial factors. In the other direction, we prove that for every $n$ there are collections of symmetric matrices such that every signing has discrepancy at least $(2-o(1))\sqrt{n}$. We present three different proofs of the matrix Spencer conjecture. The key to every proof is a hereditary small-ball estimate. This is a lower bound on the Gaussian measure of the spectral body $\{x\in \mathbb{R}^n:\|\sum_ix_iA_i\|\le R\}$ that holds for every subfamily of the matrices. The other ingredient turns that Gaussian measure into a partial signing. We give three approaches to obtain such a signing. The first one covers the cube by partially signed faces through Gaussian concentration with a constant $7\cdot10^9$. The second proof replaces the covering by a projection lemma with explicit parameters for a constant $156000$. The third proof turns Gaussian measure into signs by a lossless coding, with no union bound. It proves the estimate at the right radius with smooth spectral barriers and certified coefficients. It gives a constant below $7.88$. For algorithms, the main idea is to project Gaussian points onto a smoothed spectral body. The $n^{3+o(1)}$ time algorithm tracks the Gibbs matrix of that body across coordinate-descent steps with sketched increments and random refreshes.

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