With the climate change context, many prospective studies, generally encompassing all areas of society, imagine possible futures to expand the range of options. The role of digital technologies within these possible futures is rarely specifically targeted. Which digital technologies and methodologies do these studies envision in a world that has mitigated and adapted to climate change? In this paper, we propose a typology for scenarios to survey digital technologies and their applications in 14 prospective studies and their corresponding 35 future scenarios. Our finding is that all the scenarios consider digital technology to be present in the future. We observe that only a few of them question our relationship with digital technology and all aspects related to its materiality, and none of the general studies envision breakthroughs concerning technologies used today. Our result demonstrates the lack of a systemic view of information and communication technologies. We therefore argue for new prospective studies to envision the future of ICT.

翻译：在气候变化背景下，许多涵盖社会各领域的前瞻性研究通过设想可能的未来图景来拓展选择范围。然而，数字技术在这些未来图景中的具体角色鲜少被专门探讨。在已实现气候变化减缓与适应的未来世界中，这些研究究竟预见了哪些数字技术及其方法论？本文针对14项前瞻性研究及其对应的35个未来情景，提出了一种情景分类体系以系统梳理数字技术及其应用。研究发现：所有情景均预设数字技术将持续存在；但仅有少数情景对人与数字技术的关系及其物质性相关议题提出质疑；且没有任何一项综合性研究预见到现有技术的突破性演进。该结果表明，当前研究缺乏对信息与通信技术系统性视角的审视。因此我们呼吁开展新的前瞻性研究，以构想来ICT技术的未来。