Peruvian mining plays a crucial role in the country's economy, being one of the main producers and exporters of minerals worldwide. In this project, an application was developed in RStudio that utilizes statistical analysis and time series modeling techniques to understand and forecast mineral extraction in different departments of Peru. The application includes an interactive map that allows users to explore Peruvian geography and obtain detailed statistics by clicking on each department. Additionally, bar charts, pie charts, and frequency polygons were implemented to visualize and analyze the data. Using the ARIMA model, predictions were made on the future extraction of minerals, enabling informed decision-making in planning and resource management within the mining sector. The application provides an interactive and accessible tool to explore the Peruvian mining industry, comprehend trends, and make accurate forecasts. These predictions for 2027 in total annual production are as follows: Copper = 2,694,957 MT, Gold = 72,817.47 kg Fine, Zinc = 1,369,649 MT, Silver = 3,083,036 MT, Lead = 255,443 MT, Iron = 15,776,609 MT, Tin = 29,542 MT, Molybdenum = 35,044.66 MT, and Cadmium = 724 MT. These predictions, based on historical data, provide valuable information for strategic decision-making and contribute to the sustainable development of the mining industry in Peru.
翻译:秘鲁矿业在国家经济中占据关键地位,是全球主要矿物生产国和出口国之一。本项目开发了一个基于RStudio的应用程序,运用统计分析及时间序列建模技术,以理解和预测秘鲁不同地区的矿产开采情况。该应用程序包含交互式地图,用户可通过点击各区域探索秘鲁地理信息并获取详细统计数据。此外,系统还集成了柱状图、饼图及频率多边形等可视化工具用于数据分析。通过应用ARIMA模型,我们对未来矿产开采量进行了预测,从而能够为矿业部门的规划与资源管理提供基于数据的决策支持。该应用程序为用户提供了一种交互式且便捷的工具,用以探索秘鲁矿业现状、把握发展趋势并做出精准预测。以下是对2027年矿产总产量的预测值:铜2,694,957公吨,金72,817.47千克(纯金),锌1,369,649公吨,银3,083,036公吨,铅255,443公吨,铁15,776,609公吨,锡29,542公吨,钼35,044.66公吨,镉724公吨。这些基于历史数据的预测结果为战略决策提供了宝贵信息,并有助于推动秘鲁矿业的可持续发展。