We outline how to create a mechanism that provides an optimal way to elicit, from an arbitrary group of experts, the probability of the truth of an arbitrary logical proposition together with collective information that has an explicit form and interprets this probability. Namely, we provide strong arguments for the possibility of the development of a self-resolving prediction market with play money that incentivizes direct information exchange between experts. Such a system could, in particular, motivate simultaneously many experts to collectively solve scientific or medical problems in a very efficient manner. We also note that in our considerations, experts are not assumed to be Bayesian.

翻译：我们概述了如何构建一个机制，该机制以最优方式从任意专家群体中引出任意逻辑命题为真的概率，同时提供具有显式形式并可解释该概率的集体信息。具体而言，我们为开发一种使用虚拟货币、激励专家之间直接信息交换的自解决预测市场的可能性提供了有力论据。这样的系统尤其能激励众多专家同时以高效的方式集体解决科学或医学问题。我们还指出，在我们的考量中，专家无需被假定为贝叶斯主义者。