Using the recent exponential correlation bounds of Chattopadhyay, Hatami, Lee, Lovett, Tal and Viola between $\mathbb{F}_2$-polynomials and the XOR of majorities, we show that $\mathrm{Almost}\text{-}\oplus\mathrm{P} = \mathrm{BP}\cdot\oplus\mathrm{P}$, where $\mathrm{Almost}\text{-}\oplus\mathrm{P}$ is the class of languages that lie in $\oplus\mathrm{P}^R$ with probability one for a random oracle $R$. This is the parity analogue of Bennett and Gill's $\mathrm{Almost}\text{-}\mathrm{P} = \mathrm{BPP}$ and Nisan and Wigderson's $\mathrm{Almost}\text{-}\mathrm{PH} = \mathrm{PH}$. The key ingredient is a pseudorandom generator with polynomial seed length that fools $\mathbb{F}_2$-polynomials of polynomial degree on exponentially many variables. As an application we complete a random-oracle proof of the first half of Toda's theorem, $\mathrm{PH} \subseteq \mathrm{BP}\cdot\oplus\mathrm{P}$, following an approach of Regan and Royer. Relative to a random oracle, the polynomial hierarchy collapses into $\oplus\mathrm{P}$ by applying Valiant-Vazirani and Papadimitriou-Zachos level by level, with no probabilistic quantifier ever moved through an oracle. Our result then removes the oracle. We compare this argument with the simple proof of Toda's theorem by Fortnow (2009).

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