Reed-Muller (RM) codes have been shown to achieve capacity over a range of channels, and recently proposed projection-aggregation (PA) decoding has been experimentally shown to achieve near-maximum-likelihood decoding performance. These recent achievements motivate theoretical research on PA decoding. In this work, we analyze the density function of the soft output from collapsed projection-aggregation (CPA) decoding for RM codes over the binary-input additive white Gaussian noise (BIAWGN) channel. We prove that soft-decision CPA decoding returns an exact marginal probability and is symmetric. Based on the analysis, we build a density evolution model for CPA decoding. To simplify the density evolution, we approximate the projection and the fast Hadamard transform decoding using hard-decision decoding. Simulation results over the BIAWGN channel show that our proposed density evolution model captures the fast reduction in the mean and the variance of the soft information returned from the CPA decoding, which qualitatively explains the decoding mechanism and the fast convergence speed of the CPA decoding. We perform an asymptotic analysis based on the proposed density evolution, and we show that CPA decoding can achieve a vanishing error probability for RM codes with a vanishing code rate.

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