This article arises as an alternative solution to the problem of estimating the future population of some care centers for children and adolescents at social risk. The population of these centers fluctuates from month to month due to various social, economic and political factors, so there is no way to calculate exactly how many children will enter and how many will leave. To make the estimate, a mathematical model was developed to estimate the population of the centers in the following month based on linear regressions and it was implemented in a spreadsheet to facilitate its use.

翻译：这篇文章是用来解决一些处于社会风险中的儿童和青少年照料中心未来人口估算问题的替代解决办法,这些中心的人口因各种社会、经济和政治因素而每月波动,因此无法计算究竟有多少儿童将进入和离开,为了作出估计,开发了一个数学模型,根据线性回归情况估计下个月中心的人口,并在电子表格中加以应用,以便利其使用。