Climate change is becoming more visible, and human adaptation is required urgently to prevent greater damage. One particular domain of adaptation concerns daily mobility (work commute), with a significant portion of these trips being done in individual cars. Yet, their impact on pollution, noise, or accidents is well-known. This paper explores various cognitive biases that can explain such lack of adaptation. Our approach is to design simple interactive simulators that users can play with in order to understand biases. The idea is that awareness of such cognitive biases is often a first step towards more rational decision making, even though things are not that simple. This paper reports on three simulators, each focused on a particular factor of resistance. Various scenarios are simulated to demonstrate their explanatory power. These simulators are already available to play online, with the goal to provide users with food for thought about how mobility could evolve in the future. Work is still ongoing to design a user survey to evaluate their impact.
翻译:气候变化日益显著,人类亟需适应以减少更大损害。适应性调整的一个关键领域涉及日常通勤出行,其中相当比例的出行依赖私家车。然而,私家车对污染、噪音和交通事故的影响已是共识。本文探究了可能导致这种适应性不足的多种认知偏见。我们设计简易交互式模拟器,让用户通过操作理解这些偏见。其核心理念在于,即使现实更为复杂,对认知偏见的觉察往往是迈向理性决策的第一步。本文报告了三种模拟器,每种聚焦于一个特定的阻力因素,并通过模拟不同场景来展示其解释力。这些模拟器已上线供用户互动,旨在激发人们对未来出行方式演变的思考。目前我们正在设计用户调研以评估其实际效果。