The purpose of this study was to determine the association of location and types of crimes in the Philippines and understand the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns by comparing the crime incidence and associations before and during the pandemic. A document review was used as the main method of data collection using the datasets from the Philippine Statistics Authority- Annual Statistical Yearbook (PSA-ASY). The dataset contained the volume of index crimes in the Philippines from 2016 to 2020. The index crimes were broken down into two major categories: crimes against persons and crimes against property. Incidence of crime-by-crime type was available for different administrative regions in the Philippines. Chi-square test and correlation plot of chi-square residual were used to determine the associations between the locations and types of index crimes. A correlation plot of the chisquare residual was used to investigate the patterns of associations. Results suggest that the continuing effort of the Philippine government to fight against criminality has resulted in a steady decline in the incidence of index crimes in the Philippines. The pandemic too contributed to the decline of crime incidence in the country. These results imply that police surveillance activities in highly populated areas and specific interventions to address sexual violence must be in place during community lockdowns. The Philippine National Police should heighten its campaign in violence against women and increase its workforce visibility especially in remote and densely populated areas. The results of this study can be used as input to local government units for developing programs and plans on crime prevention. For future researches, it is recommended to conduct a precinct level analysis for a closer look at crime surveillance.
翻译:本研究旨在确定菲律宾犯罪地点与类型之间的关联,并通过比较疫情前与疫情期间的犯罪发生率及关联性,理解COVID-19封锁措施的影响。数据采集主要采用文献回顾法,利用菲律宾统计局年度统计年鉴(PSA-ASY)的数据集。该数据集包含2016年至2020年菲律宾指数犯罪的数量。指数犯罪分为两大类:人身犯罪和财产犯罪。菲律宾不同行政区域均提供了按犯罪类型划分的犯罪发生率数据。采用卡方检验和卡方残差相关图来确定犯罪地点与指数犯罪类型之间的关联。利用卡方残差相关图探究关联模式。结果表明,菲律宾政府持续打击犯罪的努力使该国指数犯罪发生率稳步下降。疫情也促进了该国犯罪率的降低。这些结果提示,在社区封锁期间,警察需在人口密集区域加强监控,并针对性暴力问题实施具体干预措施。菲律宾国家警察应加大打击暴力侵害妇女行为的力度,并提高警力可见度,尤其是在偏远和人口稠密地区。本研究结果可作为地方政府单位制定犯罪预防方案和计划的参考。未来研究建议在警区层面进行分析,以更细致地了解犯罪监控情况。