This manuscript presents and advocates for a new form of scientific communication: free and open nowcasting of public opinion via web dashboard. I present an open-source automated system that gathers new human responses to survey items daily, anonymizes and publicly distributes microdata, and presents analyses through a publicly viewable Web dashboard. A demonstration implementation tracked support for further development of artificial intelligence among American adults. As of 2026-05-31, the system had autonomously produced 766 daily estimates of support from N=8551 respondents. The findings underscore the need for continuous, high-frequency surveys to accurately track shifts in public opinion on transformative technologies like AI. I argue that more scientists should adopt the method of open nowcasting, because it encourages transparency in research design and eases replication.
翻译:本文提出并倡导一种新的科学交流形式:通过网络面板实现免费、开放的舆情即时预测。我介绍了一个开源自动化系统,该系统每日收集人类对调查项目的新响应,对微数据进行匿名化处理并公开分发,同时通过可公开查看的网络面板呈现分析结果。一项示范性实施跟踪了美国成年人对人工智能进一步发展的支持度。截至2026年5月31日,该系统已自主生成来自8551名受访者的766次每日支持度估计。研究结果凸显了采用持续、高频调查以准确追踪公众对AI等变革性技术态度变化的必要性。我认为更多科学家应当采用开放即时预测方法,因其能促进研究设计的透明度并便于复现。