Jailbreak prompts can bypass alignment guardrails in large language models (LLMs) and elicit unsafe outputs, making reliable deployment-time detection critical. Prior detection approaches largely rely on a fixed metric space, e.g., raw inputs, gradients, or hidden features, in which benign and jailbreak prompts are linearly separable. We show this assumption breaks under (i) pseudo-malicious prompts that are benign by intent but contain safety-related keywords, and (ii) adaptive attacks that explicitly optimize against the deployed detector. To overcome this limitation, we shift our focus from identifying a universal metric space to analyzing the more robust neighborhood structure of the underlying data manifold. We present Manifold Trajectory Kinetics (MTK), which treats an LLM as a kinetic system transforming inputs into outputs and detects jailbreaks by tracking how a prompt's neighborhood structure evolves across layers. Benign prompts remain close to benign neighborhoods throughout inference, whereas jailbreak prompts exhibit a characteristic trajectory that begins near malicious seeds and later strategically shifts toward benign neighborhoods to evade refusal.Across four LLMs and ten jailbreak attacks, MTK achieves strong robustness to both failure modes: on pseudo-malicious prompts, it attains a jailbreak true positive rate of 95% at a false positive rate of 5% on benign prompts and 2% on pseudo-malicious prompts, and under adaptive attacks, it maintains a true positive rate of 85%. We further demonstrate the superior performance of MTK for jailbreak detection in vision-language models. Our code is available at https://github.com/Rookie143/mtk.

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