Regionalization of intensive care for premature babies refers to a triage system of mothers with high-risk pregnancies to hospitals of varied capabilities based on risks faced by infants. Due to the limited capacity of high-level hospitals, which are equipped with advanced expertise to provide critical care, understanding the effect of delivering premature babies at such hospitals on infant mortality for different subgroups of high-risk mothers could facilitate the design of an efficient perinatal regionalization system. Towards answering this question, Baiocchi et al. (2010) proposed to strengthen an excess-travel-time-based, continuous instrumental variable (IV) in an IV-based, matched-pair design by switching focus to a smaller cohort amenable to being paired with a larger separation in the IV dose. Three elements changed with the strengthened IV: the study cohort, compliance rate and latent complier subgroup. Here, we introduce a non-bipartite, template matching algorithm that embeds data into a target, pair-randomized encouragement trial which maintains fidelity to the original study cohort while strengthening the IV. We then study randomization-based and IV-dependent, biased-randomization-based inference of partial identification bounds for the sample average treatment effect (SATE) in an IV-based matched pair design, which deviates from the usual effect ratio estimand in that the SATE is agnostic to the IV and who is matched to whom, although a strengthened IV design could narrow the partial identification bounds. Based on our proposed strengthened-IV design, we found that delivering at a high-level NICU reduced preterm babies' mortality rate compared to a low-level NICU for $81,766 \times 2 = 163,532$ mothers and their preterm babies and the effect appeared to be minimal among non-black, low-risk mothers.
翻译:早产儿重症监护的区域化是指根据高风险孕妇所面临的风险,将她们分流至不同能力等级医院的分诊系统。由于配备先进重症监护专业知识的高等级医院容量有限,了解在不同高风险孕妇亚组中,在高等级医院分娩对婴儿死亡率的影响,有助于设计高效的围产期区域化系统。为了回答这个问题,Baiocchi等人(2010)提出通过将焦点转向一个较小的、可在工具变量剂量上实现更大分离的配对队列,来强化一个基于超额出行时间的连续工具变量(IV),并应用于基于IV的配对设计中。强化IV改变了三个要素:研究队列、依从率以及潜在依从亚组。在此,我们引入一种非二分模板匹配算法,该算法将数据嵌入一个目标配对随机化鼓励试验中,既保持原始研究队列的忠实性,又强化了IV。随后,我们研究了在基于IV的配对设计中,基于随机化和依赖于IV的偏倚随机化推断,用于样本平均处理效应(SATE)的部分识别界限。该推断偏离了通常的效应比率估计量,因为SATE对IV以及谁与谁配对保持无偏性,尽管强化IV设计可能缩小部分识别界限。基于我们提出的强化IV设计,我们发现,与低等级NICU相比,在高等级NICU分娩使早产儿死亡率降低,涉及$81,766 \times 2 = 163,532$名母亲及其早产儿,且在非黑人、低风险母亲中,这一效应似乎微乎其微。