We present a behavioral definition of an agent's perceived implication that uniquely identifies a subjective state-space representing her view of a decision problem, and which may differ from the modeler's. By examining belief updating within this model, we formalize the recent empirical consensus that reducing uncertainty improves contingent thinking, and propose a novel form of updating corresponding to the agent 'realizing' a flaw in her own thinking. Finally, we clarify the sense in which contingent thinking makes state-bystate dominance more cognitively demanding than obvious dominance.
翻译:我们提出了一种行为定义,用于刻画智能体感知到的蕴含关系,该定义唯一确定了一个代表其对决策问题认知的主观状态空间,且该空间可能与建模者的不同。通过在该模型中考察信念更新,我们形式化了近期实证研究达成的共识——即减少不确定性可改善条件性思维,并提出了一种新颖的更新形式,对应于智能体“意识到”自身思维存在的缺陷。最后,我们阐明了在何种意义上,条件性思维使得逐状态占优比显性占优在认知上更具挑战性。