As our submission for track three of the AI for Global Climate Cooperation (AI4GCC) competition, we propose a negotiation protocol for use in the RICE-N climate-economic simulation. Our proposal seeks to address the challenges of carbon leakage through methods inspired by the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and Climate Clubs (CC). We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach by comparing simulated outcomes to representative concentration pathways (RCP) and shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). Our protocol results in a temperature rise comparable to RCP 3.4/4.5 and SSP 2. Furthermore, we provide an analysis of our protocol's World Trade Organization compliance, administrative and political feasibility, and ethical concerns. We recognize that our proposal risks hurting the least developing countries, and we suggest specific corrective measures to avoid exacerbating existing inequalities, such as technology sharing and wealth redistribution. Future research should improve the RICE-N tariff mechanism and implement actions allowing for the aforementioned corrective measures.
翻译:作为AI4GCC(全球气候合作人工智能)竞赛第三赛道的参赛作品,我们提出了一种用于RICE-N气候经济模拟的谈判协议。该方案借鉴碳边境调整机制(CBAM)与气候俱乐部(CC)的理念,旨在应对碳泄漏挑战。通过将模拟结果与典型浓度路径(RCP)及共享社会经济路径(SSP)进行对比,我们验证了方法的有效性。该协议产生的温升幅度与RCP 3.4/4.5及SSP 2路径相当。此外,我们分析了协议在世界贸易组织合规性、行政与政治可行性以及伦理问题方面的表现。我们意识到该方案可能损害最不发达国家的利益,为此提出技术共享与财富再分配等具体纠正措施,以避免加剧现有不平等现象。未来研究应改进RICE-N关税机制,并实施上述纠正措施所需的相关行动。