Due to the rapid geographic spread of the Aedes mosquito and the increase in dengue incidence, dengue fever has been an increasing concern for public health authorities in tropical and subtropical countries worldwide. Significant challenges such as climate change, the burden on health systems, and the rise of insecticide resistance highlight the need to introduce new and cost-effective tools for developing public health interventions. Various and locally adapted statistical methods for developing climate-based early warning systems have increasingly been an area of interest and research worldwide. Costa Rica, a country with micro-climates and endemic circulation of the dengue virus (DENV) since 1993, provides ideal conditions for developing projection models with the potential to help guide public health efforts and interventions to control and monitor future dengue outbreaks.

翻译：由于伊蚊的快速地理扩散以及登革热发病率的上升，登革热已成为全球热带和亚热带国家公共卫生当局日益关注的问题。气候变化、卫生系统负担加重以及杀虫剂抗药性增强等重大挑战凸显了引入新型、经济高效的工具以制定公共卫生干预措施的必要性。开发基于气候的早期预警系统的各类本地适应性统计方法，正逐渐成为全球范围内的研究热点。哥斯达黎加是一个具有微气候特征且自1993年以来存在登革病毒（DENV）地方性传播的国家，其为开发具有指导公共卫生努力及干预措施潜力的预测模型——用于控制和监测未来登革热暴发——提供了理想条件。